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Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence

Ex-global macro CIO. Institutional macro risk maps, historical context. Not investment advice.

Risk

The Pattern of Greed

Oct 30, 2026

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12 min read

The Pattern of Greed

From Road Builders' Bankruptcy to Hedge Mismatch: The Greed Template and the Mirror of Risk Management

Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence

Insights

The Geology of Multipolarity

Oct 26, 2026

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9 min read

The Geology of Multipolarity

How Serbia’s Election, Brazil’s Narrow Margin, and a Potential Shenzhen Trilateral Leave the Physics of Strategic Patience Intact

Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence

ATLAS

Introducing the ATLAS Macro Engine

Oct 19, 2026

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2 min read

Introducing the ATLAS Macro Engine

How I Spent the Last Few Weeks

Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence

Insights

The Two Tapes Are Not the Same Movie

Sep 28, 2026

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2 min read

The Two Tapes Are Not the Same Movie

Take on the Xi - Trump Meeting

Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence

Thematics

How A Complex System Breaks Today

Sep 20, 2026

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15 min read

How A Complex System Breaks Today

A Multi-Dimensional Analysis on The Status Quo

Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence

Insights

The AI War

Sep 8, 2026

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10 min read

The AI War

The Collision That Will Define the Rest of the 21st Century Can Only Be Won in Time

Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence

About

Introduction

Aug 21, 2026

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1 min read

Introduction

About Macro Confluence

Macro Confluence
Macro Confluence